The best way to gauge the probability of Trump being impeached or not is to look back at history. There you will find that even if the process begins, the outcome of such hasn’t netted the results Congress were seeking.
The Mueller report isn’t about exoneration or innocence, it was whether there was sufficient evidence to support an indictment against Donald Trump, in which he colluded with Russian officials to win the 2016 Presidential election. The report says in essence, there isn’t enough evidence to support an indictment. Some people, who naively understand the judicial system, insist that a verdict should have been made of guilt or innocence, that’s not how a Federal investigation by the Office of Special Counsel works.
The conclusion of the public debate isn’t over, largely because the politics, which most of us seem to drawn to like moths to a flame, want to see the modern day equivalent of Trump drawn & quartered. The news media is having a bonfire candlelight vigil over this, because it gets clicks and eyeballs, which translate into ad revenue.
The best way to gauge the probability of Trump being impeached or not, is to look back at history. The House has on several occasions written articles of impeachment. On May 16, 1868 the Senate failed to convict Andrew Johnson on one of the articles, with the 35–19 vote in favor of conviction falling short of the necessary two-thirds majority by a single vote. This is as close as it’s ever come to an actual impeachment of a sitting President.
Influence is normal politics, and aside from politics, all of us attempt to influence other people, this is normal behavior under given circumstances. Going a step further, if you were elected to a public office of any significant level, and before you even took office, there were people in government, sworn to protect the “sanctity of the ballot box”, attempting to destroy your campaign, don’t you think you might be on the defensive? Would you be attempting, of all people, to influence your campaign people, and attorney to see things your way? You bet your sweet bippy!
National Security Advisor Michael Flynn was cleared by the FBI of any malfeasance in the phone calls that they had tapped, which Flynn had with the Russian ambassador. Flynn had been cleared on those. There were other things, under the “Logan Act”, whether or not he accepted money for a speech illegally. He was later charged for lying to the FBI. Overall, it was a lot of newsprint over a big fat nothing burger. It wasn’t without consequences for Flynn. He’s been forced to sell his Virginia home to help pay for the exorbitant legal fees.
Donald F. McGahn II is an American lawyer and is the current White House Counsel and Assistant to the President Donald Trump. It’s neither corruption or obstruction to attempt to fend off constant attacks. Keep in mind this investigation was launched from a FISA warrant that arguably was illegal, because it came through a “leaked” bogus intelligence report. The Comey, McCabe support of the Steele dossier, primarily a work of fiction, was used to obtain the original warrant.
So, what’s the net of all that? Trump had every right to fire Comey, even without this as background. That’s within his authority. The fact that Comey, McCabe & Strozk, were up to their eyeballs in deceitful behavior, designed to thwart (unsuccessfully), Trump’s campaign, and they continued after he was elected, to get him removed from office through surreptitious leaks to the press.
Some claim, “the president’s job is to enforce federal law ~ ordering obstruction to save himself from the consequences of his own behavior is unlawful, defenseless and condemnable.” Can I get a Harrumph!?
“When FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe announced in January he would retire, upon learning he potentially lied under oath, and after FBI text messages revealed severe anti-Trump bias during the criminal investigation into Hillary Clinton, Comey publicly defended him.”
Some weeks later, during an interview with The View, Comey said he launched the leak investigation which ultimately led to McCabe’s firing.
“The McCabe case illustrates what an organization committed to the truth looks like. I ordered that investigation,” Comey said. “The inspector general found that he lied, and there are severe consequences in the Justice Department for lying as there should be throughout the government.”
See anything contradictory there?
From a legal sense, I’m not qualified to say the President was guilty of obstruction of justice, and I dare say neither are you. We can debate this until the cows come home, but in the end it’s not something I can control or have any influence. I just wish people would put their energies to constructive, beneficial things for our country, rather than trying to tear someone down.
Odds may be long on Trump being impeached, but that’s not likely to deter Democrats and their supporters. Even if they’re unsuccessful, they hope the damage that they do will give them the win in the 2020 Presidential election.