Author Archives: Mike Livingston

GLOBAL WARMING ~ IS THE SKY REALLY FALLING CHICKEN LITTLE?

Fire And Ice
Some say the world will end in fire,
Some say in ice.
From what I’ve tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To say that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice.
– Robert Frost

Climate Change is the rage! We must control the climate or we all will die!

If you look at the literature, the claim is: 97 percent of climate scientists agree that there is a global warming trend and that human beings are the main cause. We are supposedly over 50% responsible for this predicted – catastrophic change.

Our global warming is a whopping 0.8 degrees over the past 150 years, a warming that has tapered off to essentially nothing in the past several years. Not to worry, every time there’s a hot spell somewhere, a flood, tornado, hurricane or other weather phenomena, the “Warm-ists” insist, humans are the cause of these disasters. Even further claims, drought, and wild fires, are also caused by our human emissions of CO2. Oh, and cow farts. Cows emit methane and they’re contributing to this problem, therefore, according to some, we must eliminate meat. Vegetarians have been telling us for years, they have the superior diet.

global_temperature_CO2_chart

Sources: Met Office Hadley Centre HadCRUT4 dataset; Etheridge et al. (1998); Keeling et al. (2001); MacFarling Meure et al. (2006); Merged Ice-Core Record Data, Scripps Institution of Oceanography

scientists-97-percent-memeIt turns out that 97% didn’t even say that.

Which brings us to the next question:

2. How do we know the 97% agree?

To elaborate, how was that proven?

Almost no one who refers to the 97% has any idea, but the basic way it works is that a researcher reviews a lot of scholarly papers and classifies them by how many agree with a certain position.

Unfortunately, in the case of 97% of climate scientists agreeing that human beings are the main cause of warming, the researchers have engaged in egregious misconduct.

One of the main papers behind the 97 percent claim is authored by John Cook, who runs the popular website SkepticalScience.com, a virtual encyclopedia of arguments trying to defend predictions of catastrophic climate change from all challenges.

Here is Cook’s summary of his paper: “Cook et al. (2013) found that over 97 percent [of papers he surveyed] endorsed the view that the Earth is warming up and human emissions of greenhouse gases are the main cause.”

This is a fairly clear statement—97 percent of the papers surveyed endorsed the view that man-made greenhouse gases were the main cause—main in common usage meaning more than 50 percent.

But even a quick scan of the paper reveals that this is not the case. Cook is able to demonstrate only that a relative handful endorse “the view that the Earth is warming up and human emissions of greenhouse gases are the main cause.” Cook calls this “explicit endorsement with quantification” (quantification meaning 50 percent or more). The problem is, only a small percentage of the papers fall into this category; Cook does not say what percentage, but when the study was publicly challenged by economist David Friedman, one observer calculated that only 1.6 percent explicitly stated that man-made greenhouse gases caused at least 50 percent of global warming.

Where did most of the 97 percent come from, then? Cook had created a category called “explicit endorsement without quantification”—that is, papers in which the author, by Cook’s admission, did not say whether 1 percent or 50 percent or 100 percent of the warming was caused by man. He had also created a category called “implicit endorsement,” for papers that imply (but don’t say) that there is some man-made global warming and don’t quantify it. In other words, he created two categories that he labeled as endorsing a view that they most certainly didn’t.

The 97 percent claim is a deliberate misrepresentation designed to intimidate the public—and numerous scientists whose papers were classified by Cook protested:

“Cook survey included 10 of my 122 eligible papers. 5/10 were rated incorrectly. 4/5 were rated as endorse rather than neutral.”

—Dr. Richard Tol

“That is not an accurate representation of my paper . . .”

—Dr. Craig Idso

“Nope . . . it is not an accurate representation.”

—Dr. Nir Shaviv

“Cook et al. (2013) is based on a strawman argument . . .”

—Dr. Nicola Scafetta

Think about how many times you hear that 97 percent or some similar figure thrown around. It’s based on crude manipulation propagated by people whose ideological agenda it serves. It is a license to intimidate.

Now what? If we challenge their public pronouncements from yonder scientific endowed throne, we are labeled, climate deniers. “Why don’t I like climate deniers? It is NOT because they don’t understand the climate sciences; it is because they don’t WANT to understand the climate sciences.” ~ Gerald Kutney-Ph.D. Chm.- politics of climate change pundit & author.

So, there you have it. Case closed, you’re not supposed to have any other thoughts or explanations because we’re smarter and know stuff.

Maybe I should start with removing some assumptions that lead the arguments, but do nothing to get at the truth.

Any topic deemed so sacred that it can’t be questioned, needs further examination. This control from authority or power must be questioned or it wouldn’t need this level of authority to suppress.

No one that seriously is interested in climadeception begins with grants of moneyte science, or those who read the information, deny that climate is changing, and that it will continue to change.

There are two fundamental questions we should be asking among many more peripheral dilemmas.

1 – Is the data fundamentally correct? That’s to say, climate change is headed in a direction of planetary concern? Are the computer models we’re using accurate enough to make such predictions?

The United Nations IPCC publishes a research review in the form of a voluminous, report on the subject of climate change, which the United Nations asserts is “authored” by approximately 600 scientists. These “authors” are not, however – as is ordinarily the custom in science – permitted power of approval of the published review of which they are supposedly authors. They are permitted to comment on the draft text, but the final text neither conforms to nor includes many of their comments. The final text conforms instead to the United Nations objective of building support for world taxation and rationing of industrially useful energy.

2- If humans are the catalyst to create global climate warming, then what can we do that’s truly going to affect a positive outcome?

Howard Bloom became interested in science, especially cosmology and microbiology, as early as the age of ten. By age sixteen Bloom was working as an assistant researching the immune system at the Roswell Park Memorial Research Cancer Institute. Bloom graduated from New York University and, at the age of twenty-five, veered from his scientific studies to work as an editor for a rock magazine. Bloom would go on to found one of the largest public relations firms in the music industry.

Some groups claim humanity is plunging headlong towards catastrophe and possibly even a future in which a tiny band of survivors cluster around the last remaining habitable territory near the poles.

Other groups claim that climate change will not be too bad so there is no need to stop using fossil fuels. They point to beneficial effects such as ‘global greening’ in which plant growth is boosted by the extra carbon in the air.

Norway is banning cars from it’s capital.

The Sea Lawyers Are at it, Again

A 2016 article was recently posted by a friend who opposes personal ownership of firearms.

What America’s gun fanatics won’t tell you” <- link will take you to opinion article.

The title alone implies anyone that wants the ability to protect themselves and or their family with a firearm, must be a fanatic.

The right to speak freely, the right to protect your life or property, the right to not self-incriminate, the right of habeas corpus, were understood by those who authored this key document, as fundamental to keeping a democracy from being turned into tyranny of the masses or by a select powerful few. Human behavior is the same now as it was then, and they did their best to protect “inalienable rights.” See this article for further explanation of the alternate use of the words. Are our rights ‘inalienable’ or ‘unalienable’?

The author of the article misses two key things written in the second amendment, and the other not mentioned whatsoever; Hamilton was shot and died at the hands of Aaron Burr. Both men freely entered a pistol dual to “protect their honor”. Whatever misgivings Alexander Hamilton may have had about an individual’s right to bear arms didn’t change the course of his life or his demise.

As a bit more of a history lesson about Alexander Hamilton, he was a prominent centralized authority proponent. Among his many ideas, he proposed this at the Constitutional Convention; to have an elected President and elected Senators who would serve for life, contingent upon “good behavior” and subject to removal for corruption or abuse.

He secretly communicated with at that time, “enemies of the state” in order to further the push toward a more monarchistic form of government. Don’t believe me, then please allow the words of a contemporary to explain.

James Madison, known as the author of the Constitution, vehemently opposed at every opportunity Alexander Hamilton’s efforts to create a despotic central government. Madison once remarked that Hamilton had a hidden agenda “of the glories of a United States woven together by a system of tax collectors,” who would be ruthless in both their collection and punishment efforts. Madison authored the 2nd amendment, the right to keep and bear arms, specifically as an answer to Hamilton’s urge to create a national army which would enforce tax laws and subject the state citizens to the tyrannical rule of the central government. Hamilton dreamed of a large military to enforce the will of federal tax collectors, district attorneys, and judges on the populace, and to enforce unpopular laws.

So, let’s pick through that which was ignored in order for the author, Brett Arends, to create a false interpretation of the Second amendment.

A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.” Note the comma, for those that don’t understand this basic usage, it’s use is to separate coordinated independent clauses. Perhaps that’s a misunderstood definition on language.

More modern legal arguments over the definition of those few words are, collective rights of government vs. individual rights. I refer you to a link that describes this in more detail –> Live Science

“The first ten amendments of the Constitution are collectively known as the Bill of Rights. It was formalized for the protection of natural rights of liberty and property.” “This bill is an important constituent of American Law as well as the government, and symbolizes the freedom and culture of the United States of America.” The Constitution was written to be a more concise and centralized view of government authority. It replaced the Articles of Confederation. At it’s core, it states these rights are not granted by government, but are inalienable rights of all citizens. This means the government was formed to protect the individual from tyranny of the state as well as foreign powers.

I’ll end this post with Alexander Hamilton’s own words, because he too understood the balance necessary to prevent tyranny.
“ .. if circumstances should at any time oblige the government to form an army of any magnitude that army can never be formidable to the liberties of the people while there is a large body of citizens, little if at all inferior to them in discipline and the use of arms, who stand ready to defend their own rights and those of their fellow-citizens.”

Hamilton delineates his vision not only of a free people bearing arms for the common defense, but also for the protection of liberty. It was intended by the framers of our Constitution that a free people be armed. Therefore it follows, those who wish the people disarmed also wish them enslaved by their own government.

Alexander_Hamilton_Aaron_Burr_dual_to_death_framed

Burr–Hamilton duel, from a painting by J. Mund

History has repeatedly shown, the rights & liberties of people are not preserved or protected solely by the pen, but through the power of the sword.

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Why & How Did We Get Here?

Within 24 hours of each other, two different young men turn their inner most hostile thoughts into reality. El Paso Texas, 21 people have died from wounds received by a 21 year old white male, using a firearm. Dayton Ohio, 9 people have died from a 24 year old white male who used a firearm to kill and wound. At each location there were more than two dozen people injured.

Reading the stories barely touches on the lives so tragically affected. An example, small children die, parents tried to shield their child from the shooter and died. The list goes on, and it’s truly horrible. In Dayton Ohio, Authorities said ____, of nearby Bellbrook, opened fire with a rifle early Sunday in the city’s Oregon District. Among the dead was his 22-year-old sister, Megan. At least 27 people were injured. BTW – I won’t name the shooters. I believe they’re not worth recognition. I want nothing about the specific individual to gain notoriety.

A 21-year-old white man from Allen, a suburb of Dallas about a 650-mile drive from El Paso, is in police custody. Authorities are looking at potentially bringing capital murder charges against him. He was captured shortly after the shooting.

In each instance we seem to have a common nexus. Each has been perpetrated by a white male under the age of 30. This was similar to the shooting, the week before in California, also committed by a white male under the age of 30 using a semi-automatic, magazine fed rifle. What’s going on with these white men, mostly between the ages of 20 to 30?

The victims haven’t had time to be released from the hospitals, or their families grieve, and we have immediate analysis. Some blame this on firearms, they want either a ban or some new law with greater restrictions on availability. Others take to the air waves, and claim it’s because of Trump. “Trump created an atmosphere of hatred among these young men”. Still, we had this senseless killing under Obama, and no one blames him.

An El Paso congresswoman says, “Trump is ‘not welcome’ in the city.” “The president has made my community and my people the enemy. He has told the country that we are people to be feared, people to be hated.” She elaborates further, “Hispanic people have become “dehumanized.”

The attack in El Paso, Texas, underscores the continued threat posed by domestic violent extremists and perpetrators of hate crimes. The FBI is supporting its state and local partners in Texas through investigative, intelligence, and technical assistance. The El Paso investigation is also being supported by the FBI’s Domestic Terrorism-Hate Crimes Fusion Cell. … The FBI remains concerned that U.S.-based domestic violent extremists could become inspired by these and previous high-profile attacks to engage in similar acts of violence.

The FBI asks the American public to report to law enforcement any suspicious activity that is observed either in person or online.

I read impassioned pleas to ban “assault rifles”. I see where others want to ban any weapon with a “high capacity”. It seems almost pointless to debate with people so over wrought with emotions. It does little good to point out the decade long assault weapons ban that expired, but did nothing to lower murderous violence. (Not my words, it was the official results finding) No gun-free zones have ever made schools or government facilities safer, despite the good intentions. All our schools are gun free or bomb free zones, yet we have had incidents where that didn’t stop the antagonists.

If the cure isn’t in some type of legislation, or appeal we seek in a supreme being, then what or how can we affect a positive change?

I think I have some of the answers, but people don’t want to hear them, because they aren’t quick and it requires serious change which involves almost all of us.

Let’s do an “IMAGINE” moment together, and look beyond the quick and not effective  methods. “In the US, prohibition lasted from the year 1920 until the year 1933. The ban on manufacture, sale as well as transportation of alcohol was stipulated under the 18th Amend of the US Constitution.”  “Finally, realizing that the prohibition was not serving its purpose, President Franklin Roosevelt signed a law, which was an amendment to the Volstead Act on 22nd March 1933. This act was called the Cullen Harrison Act and it allowed the manufacture as well as sale of alcohol.” 

Bans don’t change human behavior. Laws written to stop lawless behavior, are from the outset, doomed to failure. That’s why a ban on alcohol, drugs, or laws against murder, don’t seem to change the behavior of some people. So, what motivates people to commit mass murder? People want solutions, and for the most part don’t care what it takes, because as of Sunday, which was the 216th day of the year, there have been 251 mass shootings in the U.S. in 2019. None of them that I know of have been by Muslims, or radical immigrants.

In just one minute, police say the Dayton shooter opened fire and killed his sister and several other victims. The Oregon District is dense with bars and cafes, but before he could get into any establishments, he was quickly killed by nearby police within one minute of the first shot, police said.

A former fellow high school student, Spencer Brickler told CNN he and his sister were on the hit list, and remembered the shooter was once escorted off a bus by police officers over the threats. He was reportedly suspended in high school for creating a “hit-list” that caused a lockdown after it was scribbled on a bathroom wall.

In high school, the Dayton shooter compiled a list which was separated into two columns: a “kill list” for boys and a “rape list” for girls.  A third person, who also asked not to be named for privacy reasons, told CNN that ______ sent messages about the list to one of his classmates, who told her mother. Her mother then notified the police, who came to the school and interviewed people on the list individually in the school’s office.

Some of the names were female students who, turned him down for dates. She said _____ often simulated shooting other students and threatened to kill himself and others on several occasions. “He loved to look at you and pretend to shoot with guns, guns with his hands.

A source told a CBS News senior investigative producer, the Texas suspect was considered “a troubled youth.” The El Paso suspect was charged Sunday with capital murder and was being held on no bond, on Sunday evening. The suspect has been cooperating with investigators.

About 20 minutes before the shooting started, a post on the online message board 8chan believed to be from the suspect laid out a dark vision of America overrun by Hispanic immigrants. The 2,300-word document, which police called a “manifesto,” was attached to a post that said, “I’m probably going to die today.” The El Paso shooter began his text by writing: “In general, I support the Christchurch shooter and his manifesto. This attack is a response to the Hispanic invasion of Texas. They are the instigators, not me. I am simply defending my country from cultural and ethnic replacement brought on by an invasion.

Besides the connection which many want to use, “assault type weapons”, or “high capacity weapons”, there are additional concerns that should be addressed. Obviously, we can’t say, “ban all white males” in the US from owning any potentially deadly firearms or even knives, but there are things which have been pointed out in the past. Can we continue to ignore these facts?

Millions of Americans own firearms in this country, and most are multiple capacity magazine fed firearms. There aren’t exacting numbers as to how many rifles are equipped with features that legislators, lobbyists, & activists point out as “assault weapons”, but they must be in the hundreds of thousands or well over a million. Why doesn’t that inform people, “it’s not the gun”, but the people behind it?

If indeed the perception of America is, it’s a gun culture, then why do we program our lives with so called heroes that use guns to solve problems? I’m suggesting we need to take a hard look at least 3 things:

  1. Movies which feature protagonists who carry and use weapons, to the exclusion of any real world solutions to problems. Our most popular celebrities have made a fortune featuring their use of violence, yet they turn around and tell us, we shouldn’t use or own guns. Graphic violence on Television and movies attracts an audience, and the entertainment industry thrives on it.
  2.  Violent video games, which we hear from those with a vested interest in them, “doesn’t affect our youth.” Really? We see body parts being damaged, and blood everywhere. This has to desensitize some of our troubled youth. How can this help minds that are already in need of help?
  3. We lack sufficient healthy resources for youth or for that matter adults, and we lack any really trained first line contacts with the public, who can assess and diffuse a situation that’s going wrong. Again, we answer violence with violence, instead of trying to prevent escalation.

I truly believe the answers to these recurring mass shootings, or for that matter, suicides, lay in further work with mental health. If outer space or the oceans are a mystery, and need further exploration, surely the mind and human mental health deserve at least as much, if not more attention.

The people who want a quick fix, or say, “SOMETHING MUST BE DONE“, but don’t demand mental health issues be addressed, are not going to gain any relief through passage of another set of laws. Those laws have failed us in our public schools, on the streets of Chicago, or for that matter, California. We need to address complex problems with more than simple solutions.

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  • NOTE Any time you see underscored / underlined words in my post, those are links to the articles from news sources. They will provide additional background to the topic.

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