Group Think Nonsense

Harvard Smithsonian coral imageThere are groups of people who attempt to dominate the landscape of public opinion. Aided by large corporate media outlets, who pretend to be opinion neutral, we are barraged with “group think”.

The intent is obvious, present an idea, policy, program, law or topic, from a singular point of view. Use every means possible to marginalize / ridicule those who disagree. Bring as many people as possible into thinking the same way.

In order to impose their opinion, band wagon argument or claims of authority are used. The general public is aware of the term, political correctness, but some subjects go beyond societal norms. These debates are used to create new policies / laws, which in the end are really more about consolidation of government power.

I apologize in advance for the length of this post. Those who take the necessary steps to think critically, I include additional video, charts and explanations. For those who want to understand some of the criticism for human control of climate change, this post should prove to be helpful.

One of those “hot” topics [ pun intended ], is global warming or climate change. Most often the proponents claim a consensus of scientists agree with their findings. These “scientific proclamations” create alarm, sometimes bordering on frenzied panic. Another method used to steam-roll their ideas is to shame anyone who dares to disagree or who calls into question the pseudo science of global warming. Most often their name for them, is a “denier”.

A Nobel Scientist – his analysis & reaction to global climate change.

Climate: the composite or generally prevailing weather of a region, as temperature, air pressure, humidity, precipitation, sunshine, cloudiness, and winds, throughout the year, averaged over a series of years. Weather: the state of the atmosphere with respect to wind, temperature, cloudiness, humidity, air pressure, precipitation, sunshine, cloudiness.

Concluding from those two similar but slightly different definitions, weather over a long period of time is an acceptable definition for climate. Weather predictions of these patterns for near future periods have improved greatly over recent years, however long-term predictions over several months, let alone years, have proven to be inaccurate, even for a region. This calls into question any accurate computer model or useful scientific analysis.

Climate change calculations, rely on accurate data but still require computer modeling to predict what will happen several years or decades into the future. Many scientists note a slight rise in average temperature over the past 150 years. This suggests a trend in continued warming. World population increased from about 1.7 to over 7 billion people during this same period.

Although the temperature fluctuation is quite small, many conclude that during this same period, a rise in CO2 has initiated this rise in temperatures. Furthermore, this has created a lot of conjecture, CO2 emissions have increased, thus temperatures rise. Therefore, if CO2 levels are under the control of human production, then humans can control the earth’s climate through changing this output.

Their next assumption, is any rise in temperature is bad and must be controlled. No one understands what should be the optimal average global temperature. It just needs to be under our control, and governments are more than willing to make new laws and increase taxes to pretend they can manage the world’s climate. Soon we will hear politicians claim, they care more about the environment, and their new program (tax) will help all humans. More government regulation = better climate.

According to the Energy Information  Administration, China, the United States and Asia are among major polluters that are expected to increase emissions over the next 20 years.

  1.  A relatively small patch of the planet contains the United States and Europe — and thus contains the majority of scientists and weather records.
  2.  A longer historical analysis of global temperature deviation has been ignored because it doesn’t fit the model of increases in CO2 produce increased average temperatures.
  3.  In urban areas the absorption of solar energy by smog, black roads and roofs, along with direct outpouring of heat from furnaces and other energy sources, created an “urban heat island” effect. This was the most striking of all human modifications of local climates. It could be snowing in the suburbs while raining downtown.
  4.  Government officials and scientists wanted more definite statements on what was happening to the weather. Thousands of stations around the world were turning out daily numbers, but these represented many different standards and degrees of reliability. As they say in real estate, location – location – location.
  5.  Assumptions about the effects of global warming were concluded with decreasing periods of observation, meaning 10 year periods were analyzed and assumed to predict longer term trends.
  6.  Selective observations about global temperatures became more prevalent. For example, visual observations of the Arctic ice pack were showing rapid decreases in ice. Antarctic increases were discounted or rejected because they didn’t fit the desired objective for government policy makers.

Desert Research Institute core ice sampleStudying climate change is challenging for a number of reasons, not the least of which is the bewildering variety of climate indicators – all sensitive to different climatic variables, and each operating on slightly overlapping yet distinct scales of space and time. For example, tree ring studies can yield yearly records of temperature and precipitation trends, while glacier ice cores record those variables over longer time scales of several decades to a century.”

A review of more than 200 climate studies led by researchers at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics has determined that the 20th century is neither the warmest century nor the century with the most extreme weather of the past 1000 years.”

The review also confirmed that the Medieval Warm Period of 800 to 1300 A.D. and the Little Ice Age of 1300 to 1900 A.D. were worldwide phenomena not limited to the European and North American continents. While 20th century temperatures are higher than in the Little Ice Age period, many parts of the world show the medieval warmth to be greater than that of the 20th century.

A panel of Australian scientists discuss and question climate change, and the reasons why there is such broad support among scientists.

Whether human carbon-dioxide emissions have caused measurable temperature increases over the last 30 years can be debated. Carbon dioxide is itself a benign and essential substance. Without it, plants would not grow, and without plant-life animals could not live. Any increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere causes plants, trees, and forests to grow more abundantly. Coral reefs actually grow more with increased warmth, giving more opportunity for fish to feed.

Chart for millions of years of average temperature

George Carlin on the hubris of “saving the planet”.